This is a list of my top 2023 fantasy football busts – players you should avoid unless they fall far in your draft. The Average Draft Position (ADP) is found on FantasyPros.com.
2023 Fantasy Football Busts (Aug. 22):
I was dead on with some of my busts over the past four years. My top busts for 2019 were Antonio Brown and Todd Gurley. I had some misses as well, but Brown and Gurley were two players I didn’t want to select in the top three rounds. In 2021, I asked everyone to avoid Saquon Barkley and Myles Gaskin, though there were two misses. As for 2022, I said to avoid J.K. Dobbins, Ezekiel Elliott, and David Montgomery, though I whiffed on Josh Jacobs.
Najee Harris, RB, Steelers. ADP: 3.02.
Najee Harris was worse than Jaylen Warren last year. I thought this may have been because of injury, but this continued to be the case in the two preseason games. There’s a good chance Harris will lose a lot of work to Warren.
D’Andre Swift, RB, Eagles. ADP: 6.02.
Are you kidding me with this ADP? How many times will people be fooled by D’Andre Swift? Swift always gets hurt, and he’s currently behind Kenneth Gainwell in the running back pecking order.
Breece Hall, RB, Jets. ADP: 4.02.
I love Breece Hall as a player, but he’s coming off a torn ACL. I don’t trust running backs and receivers returning from this injury. It’s not a guarantee that Hall will struggle, but history suggests he will.
Javonte Williams, RB, Broncos. ADP: 5.12.
Like Breece Hall, Javonte Williams is a talented running back who is coming off a torn ACL. It doesn’t sound like Williams will be ready for the season opener, so I couldn’t ever imagine drafting him in Rounds 5-6 this year.
Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams. ADP: 1.07.
Cooper Kupp turns 30 this summer, but this designation is more about Matthew Stafford than Kupp. Stafford is coming off an elbow injury, so he may not be 100 percent this year. Even if he is, he’ll be hurt by his team’s poor offensive line. This will obviously affect Kupp’s performances. I still like Kupp, but it’s hard to trust him in the first round.
Aaron Jones, RB, Packers. ADP: 4.06.
Aaron Jones’ touchdown totals will almost certainly drop in the wake of Aaron Rodgers’ departure. We’ll need to see how “No Cookie” Jordan Love performs, but it’s not likely that he’ll be able to boost Jones as much as Rodgers did. Besides, A.J. Dillon will continue to eat into Jones’ workload.
Deebo Samuel, WR, 49ers. ADP: 4.03.
Deebo Samuel is a great player in real life, but he’s overrated when it comes to fantasy football. This wasn’t always the case, but his weekly touches declined in the wake of the Christian McCaffrey trade. He’s going way too early for my liking.
Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens. ADP: 3.05.
I love Mark Andrews as a player, but I hate where he’s being drafted. Running backs and wide receivers are so thin this year, so you can’t afford to spend such an early pick on a tight end not named Travis Kelce. Also, Andrews will lose some targets to the new receivers Baltimore acquired this offseason.
D.J. Moore, WR, Bears. ADP: 5.05.
D.J. Moore was a big upgrade for the Bears, who were desperate for help at receiver. However, the transition to Chicago was a downgrade for Moore’s fantasy outlook. This is not a shot at Justin Fields, but rather Fields’ style of play. Fields runs so much, and every time he does so, that will be one fewer potential target for Moore. The former Panther will have trouble matching his upside as a result. Look for Moore to go even earlier in fantasy drafts because of his 62-yard touchdown in the preseason opener.
Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens. ADP: 3.09.
What I wrote about tight ends also applies to quarterbacks this year. This especially applies to Lamar Jackson, who hasn’t been able to finish the past two NFL seasons. He will also be playing behind a questionable offensive line.
More 2023 Fantasy Football Articles:
Fantasy Football Rankings
2023 Fantasy Football Rankings:
2023 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 5/25 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 5/25 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings: Dynasty - 5/10 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
2023 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts - 8/13 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
2023 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 250 - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 250 PPR - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 250 Half-PPR - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 250 2-QB - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 250 Touchdown League - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Custom - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football: Dynasty Rankings - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Spreadsheets - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Articles:
2023 Fantasy Football Sleepers - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Busts - 8/14 (Walt)
2022 NFL Preseason Game Recaps - 8/14 (Walt)
2022 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Preseason Games - 8/14 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Stock Report: OTAs, Training Camp - 8/10 (Walt)
2023 Fantasy Football Round-by-Round Strategy Guide - 8/6 (Walt)
Fantasy Football Rankings - Aug. 9
2024 NFL Mock Draft - July 25
NFL Power Rankings - June 2
NFL Picks - Feb. 14
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